Bolder Than Before
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (19 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (Partisan (Ukrainian)): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1028 | 50% | 2026-02-26 | Won |
| 1206 | 999 | 77% | 2025-10-28 | Won |
| 1041 | 1023 | 53% | 2022-05-06 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1234 | 41% | 2022-03-09 | Won |
| 1127 | 999 | 68% | 2022-02-01 | Lost |
| 1082 | 941 | 69% | 2022-01-26 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-11-10 | Won |
| 913 | 884 | 54% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 988 | 980 | 51% | 2020-04-26 | Won |
| 1159 | 1125 | 55% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 1218 | 1135 | 62% | 2020-02-20 | Lost |
| 1127 | 998 | 68% | 2019-05-01 | Won |
| 1006 | 1134 | 32% | 2018-08-19 | Lost |
| 996 | 1046 | 43% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1167 | 1195 | 46% | 2017-12-07 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-19 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 1052 | 955 | 64% | 2017-02-20 | Won |
| 1220 | 1276 | 42% | 2017-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1094.8 vs 1063.5 has a 54.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).