Taking Some Flak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (14 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 20
Defender wins (German (SS)): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
984 | 1078 | 37% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
1078 | 1012 | 59% | 2024-04-04 | Won |
992 | 992 | 50% | 2023-08-03 | Lost |
972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-07-01 | Won |
881 | 1003 | 33% | 2022-08-15 | Tied |
865 | 857 | 51% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
1075 | 1075 | 50% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
1122 | 938 | 74% | 2018-02-02 | Won |
1039 | 1078 | 44% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
1088 | 1069 | 53% | 2017-04-02 | Won |
1051 | 985 | 59% | 2017-03-21 | Lost |
1191 | 1225 | 45% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
1109 | 873 | 80% | 2017-03-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1032.1 vs 1017.8 has a 52.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).