Taking Some Flak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (17 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 22
Defender wins (German (SS)): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 985 | 1148 | 28% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 898 | 1273 | 10% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1022 | 67% | 2024-04-04 | Won |
| 986 | 986 | 50% | 2023-08-03 | Lost |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-07-01 | Won |
| 881 | 917 | 45% | 2022-08-15 | Tied |
| 867 | 880 | 48% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 965 | 1044 | 39% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1118 | 53% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
| 1110 | 931 | 74% | 2018-02-02 | Won |
| 1042 | 1148 | 35% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1063 | 53% | 2017-04-02 | Won |
| 1034 | 1022 | 52% | 2017-03-21 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1100 | 50% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1223 | 44% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 1114 | 853 | 82% | 2017-03-15 | Won |
| 1138 | 982 | 71% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1038 vs 1044.7 has a 49.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).