Taking Some Flak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (12 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 15
Defender wins (German (SS)): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
925 | 1000 | 39% | 2024-04-04 | Won |
992 | 992 | 50% | 2023-08-03 | Lost |
972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-07-01 | Won |
881 | 1006 | 33% | 2022-08-15 | Tied |
865 | 780 | 62% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
1006 | 1049 | 44% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
1142 | 1172 | 46% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
1041 | 925 | 66% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
1089 | 1083 | 51% | 2017-04-02 | Won |
1051 | 989 | 59% | 2017-03-21 | Lost |
1106 | 1225 | 34% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
1109 | 890 | 78% | 2017-03-15 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1014.9 vs 1013.4 has a 50.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).