Taking Some Flak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (20 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 23
Defender wins (German (SS)): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 1058 | 50% | 2025-08-19 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1204 | 44% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 971 | 1341 | 11% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1204 | 995 | 77% | 2024-04-04 | Won |
| 982 | 982 | 50% | 2023-08-03 | Lost |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-07-01 | Won |
| 879 | 958 | 39% | 2022-08-15 | Tied |
| 866 | 917 | 43% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 1080 | 1202 | 33% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 958 | 1041 | 38% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
| 1098 | 928 | 73% | 2018-02-02 | Won |
| 1035 | 1204 | 27% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1003 | 54% | 2017-04-02 | Won |
| 1020 | 1078 | 42% | 2017-03-21 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1117 | 49% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 1167 | 888 | 83% | 2017-03-15 | Won |
| 1117 | 1047 | 60% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1053.1 vs 1072.5 has a 47.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).