Trial Run
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (19 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 24
Defender wins (German): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 938 | 64% | 2024-06-14 | Won |
| 913 | 865 | 57% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1075 | 932 | 69% | 2021-05-29 | Won |
| 1189 | 1080 | 65% | 2020-05-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-17 | Won |
| 1015 | 975 | 56% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 1015 | 975 | 56% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 1019 | 889 | 68% | 2018-03-11 | Won |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2017-12-02 | Won |
| 1140 | 1096 | 56% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1052 | 904 | 70% | 2017-09-02 | Won |
| 1150 | 1264 | 34% | 2017-09-01 | Won |
| 1029 | 1009 | 53% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 1134 | 976 | 71% | 2017-07-01 | Lost |
| 960 | 1172 | 23% | 2017-05-22 | Won |
| 1167 | 938 | 79% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1006 | 68% | 2017-04-02 | Lost |
| 983 | 1024 | 44% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
| 1014 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1053.7 vs 1009.6 has a 56.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).