Trial Run
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (15 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 21
Defender wins (German): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1015 | 1003 | 52% | 2024-06-14 | Won |
857 | 865 | 49% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2021-05-29 | Won |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2020-05-17 | Won |
1064 | 994 | 60% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
1064 | 994 | 60% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
1069 | 928 | 69% | 2018-03-11 | Won |
917 | 1016 | 36% | 2017-12-02 | Won |
1048 | 914 | 68% | 2017-09-02 | Won |
1043 | 1009 | 55% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
985 | 973 | 52% | 2017-07-01 | Lost |
981 | 1113 | 32% | 2017-05-22 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
985 | 1051 | 41% | 2017-04-02 | Lost |
1138 | 1014 | 67% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1024.2 vs 999 has a 53.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).