The Haunted Castle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (28 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 65
Defender wins (German): 35
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
1033 | 986 | 57% | 2022-03-20 | Won |
865 | 857 | 51% | 2021-08-17 | Won |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
1159 | 1018 | 69% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
1003 | 1029 | 46% | 2020-04-14 | Lost |
1069 | 819 | 81% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
973 | 985 | 48% | 2019-06-02 | Lost |
1159 | 1208 | 43% | 2018-11-13 | Lost |
967 | 1011 | 44% | 2018-09-14 | Won |
1122 | 1033 | 63% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
1081 | 1109 | 46% | 2017-10-15 | Lost |
957 | 1069 | 34% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
1043 | 963 | 61% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
896 | 905 | 49% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
1045 | 1075 | 46% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
1307 | 931 | 90% | 2017-05-07 | Won |
1051 | 985 | 59% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
1115 | 1069 | 57% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
1211 | 1138 | 60% | 2017-03-18 | Won |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
1064 | 995 | 60% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
948 | 927 | 53% | 2017-02-28 | Lost |
1016 | 917 | 64% | 2017-02-26 | Lost |
1311 | 1003 | 85% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2017-02-12 | Won |
989 | 994 | 49% | 2017-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1058.9 vs 1008.5 has a 57.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).