A Real Barn Burner
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 210 (60 on the archive and 150 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 101
Defender wins (German): 109
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
964 | 919 | 56% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
964 | 919 | 56% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
1002 | 1030 | 46% | 2022-08-15 | Won |
1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
919 | 929 | 49% | 2022-06-14 | Won |
986 | 1051 | 41% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
1169 | 982 | 75% | 2021-08-19 | Lost |
1159 | 1034 | 67% | 2021-03-09 | Won |
992 | 1003 | 48% | 2021-03-09 | Lost |
1041 | 1003 | 55% | 2021-03-07 | Won |
1060 | 1071 | 48% | 2021-02-06 | Lost |
865 | 857 | 51% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
1090 | 1117 | 46% | 2020-11-03 | Lost |
992 | 1008 | 48% | 2020-10-30 | Won |
1010 | 1166 | 29% | 2020-10-25 | Won |
1007 | 1007 | 50% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
1159 | 1018 | 69% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
1049 | 1052 | 50% | 2020-07-18 | Lost |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2020-02-12 | Lost |
1023 | 992 | 54% | 2020-02-11 | Won |
1016 | 992 | 53% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
862 | 1055 | 25% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
964 | 967 | 50% | 2019-07-20 | Won |
986 | 985 | 50% | 2019-05-05 | Won |
1032 | 905 | 68% | 2018-12-29 | Lost |
1102 | 1208 | 35% | 2018-12-14 | Won |
1108 | 1101 | 51% | 2018-09-29 | Won |
958 | 926 | 55% | 2018-05-26 | Won |
972 | 972 | 50% | 2018-05-24 | Won |
961 | 985 | 47% | 2018-03-25 | Lost |
1102 | 1208 | 35% | 2018-03-03 | Won |
1120 | 964 | 71% | 2017-12-03 | Won |
1001 | 1003 | 50% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
1069 | 1083 | 48% | 2017-10-06 | Won |
1021 | 979 | 56% | 2017-10-06 | Won |
979 | 1039 | 41% | 2017-10-05 | Won |
1050 | 1283 | 21% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2017-09-07 | Won |
1274 | 1211 | 59% | 2017-09-02 | Lost |
1307 | 917 | 90% | 2017-09-01 | Won |
1138 | 956 | 74% | 2017-08-11 | Won |
1003 | 881 | 67% | 2017-07-22 | Won |
907 | 943 | 45% | 2017-06-25 | Won |
1076 | 1141 | 41% | 2017-06-25 | Lost |
932 | 1127 | 25% | 2017-05-22 | Lost |
985 | 1028 | 44% | 2017-04-24 | Lost |
1071 | 964 | 65% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
1043 | 1029 | 52% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
1211 | 873 | 87% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
1142 | 1225 | 38% | 2017-04-08 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
1149 | 1311 | 28% | 2017-03-17 | Lost |
1398 | 1011 | 90% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
1047 | 1283 | 20% | 2017-03-10 | Won |
1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
958 | 1045 | 38% | 2017-02-20 | Lost |
984 | 1138 | 29% | 2017-02-16 | Lost |
994 | 910 | 62% | 2017-01-14 | Won |
Attacking (37 wins) average ELOs: 1039.8 vs 1041.2 has a 49.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).