Belgian Blitzkrieg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (28 on the archive and 76 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Belgian): 59
Defender wins (German): 45
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
970 | 1014 | 44% | 2024-02-11 | Lost |
773 | 865 | 37% | 2021-03-16 | Lost |
1018 | 1159 | 31% | 2020-08-23 | Lost |
1056 | 1104 | 43% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
1056 | 1104 | 43% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
903 | 991 | 38% | 2020-02-10 | Lost |
1008 | 1057 | 43% | 2019-02-09 | Lost |
1330 | 1026 | 85% | 2018-06-21 | Lost |
1115 | 1040 | 61% | 2017-08-29 | Lost |
1029 | 1024 | 51% | 2017-08-26 | Lost |
1009 | 1020 | 48% | 2017-08-19 | Won |
896 | 1096 | 24% | 2017-08-04 | Lost |
1029 | 976 | 58% | 2017-08-04 | Lost |
981 | 934 | 57% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
1047 | 1102 | 42% | 2017-07-22 | Won |
1114 | 994 | 67% | 2017-06-15 | Won |
1114 | 994 | 67% | 2017-06-15 | Won |
1008 | 983 | 54% | 2017-05-27 | Won |
1008 | 983 | 54% | 2017-04-29 | Lost |
1014 | 1171 | 29% | 2017-04-27 | Lost |
1103 | 1071 | 55% | 2017-04-23 | Won |
1081 | 930 | 70% | 2017-04-22 | Lost |
1000 | 1105 | 35% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
1323 | 1055 | 82% | 2017-03-29 | Won |
1057 | 1008 | 57% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2017-03-07 | Lost |
995 | 934 | 59% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
1001 | 961 | 56% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1038 vs 1025.5 has a 51.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).