Operation Blackwater
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (12 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 25
Defender wins (German): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1249 | 1014 | 79% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
1209 | 1141 | 60% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
1311 | 1211 | 64% | 2024-03-12 | Lost |
1039 | 784 | 81% | 2020-06-03 | Lost |
956 | 964 | 49% | 2017-12-01 | Won |
1078 | 1009 | 60% | 2017-11-01 | Lost |
972 | 985 | 48% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
1051 | 932 | 66% | 2017-08-25 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
1019 | 982 | 55% | 2017-03-02 | Won |
1307 | 1273 | 55% | 2016-11-25 | Won |
879 | 1018 | 31% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1089.4 vs 1040.8 has a 56.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).