De Zwarte Duivels
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (11 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Dutch): 20
Defender wins (German): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
995 | 934 | 59% | 2024-04-13 | Lost |
1041 | 993 | 57% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2023-10-29 | Won |
856 | 1090 | 21% | 2020-06-08 | Won |
1056 | 980 | 61% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
980 | 1081 | 36% | 2018-10-11 | Lost |
1121 | 1323 | 24% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
938 | 1330 | 9% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
1014 | 1171 | 29% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
1014 | 1171 | 29% | 2017-06-21 | Won |
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1006.3 vs 1100.1 has a 36.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).