Broich Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (17 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (German): 30
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 924 | 1022 | 36% | 2023-11-01 | Lost |
| 932 | 1112 | 26% | 2023-09-10 | Lost |
| 1278 | 850 | 92% | 2022-10-30 | Won |
| 966 | 864 | 64% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1048 | 66% | 2021-04-05 | Won |
| 1203 | 1033 | 73% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1223 | 1107 | 66% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1003 | 1209 | 23% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1050 | 986 | 59% | 2018-05-19 | Won |
| 1048 | 1195 | 30% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1048 | 70% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 932 | 1219 | 16% | 2017-11-28 | Lost |
| 877 | 1195 | 14% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 877 | 1195 | 14% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 929 | 1050 | 33% | 2017-01-26 | Lost |
| 877 | 1048 | 27% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1302 | 16% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1028.5 vs 1087.2 has a 41.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).