Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (14 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (American): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 941 | 941 | 50% | 2024-11-06 | Won |
| 952 | 937 | 52% | 2023-07-15 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1184 | 35% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 1044 | 965 | 61% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1068 | 54% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
| 1148 | 917 | 79% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1091 | 937 | 71% | 2020-12-27 | Lost |
| 946 | 933 | 52% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1133 | 1137 | 49% | 2020-06-23 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1114 | 38% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1223 | 22% | 2018-05-30 | Lost |
| 1140 | 968 | 73% | 2017-02-04 | Won |
| 1100 | 1011 | 63% | 2012-05-15 | Won |
| 1160 | 1138 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1061.7 vs 1033.8 has a 54.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).