Scouts Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (13 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 20
Defender wins (German): 16
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1208 | 1213 | 49% | 2026-05-25 | Won |
| 1075 | 988 | 62% | 2025-05-08 | Lost |
| 941 | 1037 | 37% | 2024-06-30 | Lost |
| 954 | 1097 | 31% | 2023-12-20 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1129 | 52% | 2022-03-07 | Won |
| 992 | 1023 | 46% | 2021-10-27 | Won |
| 826 | 885 | 42% | 2021-10-05 | Won |
| 944 | 1089 | 30% | 2021-07-08 | Lost |
| 1230 | 986 | 80% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 996 | 1037 | 44% | 2020-06-05 | Won |
| 1225 | 989 | 80% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
| 1217 | 893 | 87% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-12-31 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1075.2 vs 1028.8 has a 56.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).