Not Out of the Woods Yet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (13 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 17
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1052 | 884 | 72% | 2025-03-06 | Lost |
| 988 | 937 | 57% | 2024-08-28 | Lost |
| 756 | 1001 | 20% | 2024-04-27 | Lost |
| 999 | 916 | 62% | 2024-04-27 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1056 | 65% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1072 | 1162 | 37% | 2024-03-05 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1037 | 46% | 2023-10-25 | Lost |
| 1075 | 932 | 69% | 2021-10-20 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1055 | 42% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1108 | 911 | 76% | 2020-08-24 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2019-07-03 | Won |
| 1055 | 948 | 65% | 2018-10-14 | Won |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-10-14 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1019.8 vs 1003 has a 52.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).