Death at Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (15 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (German): 17
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2024-08-30 | Lost |
1036 | 1032 | 51% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
938 | 943 | 49% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
964 | 1012 | 43% | 2022-08-22 | Won |
1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2021-10-17 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2021-01-05 | Lost |
1018 | 1159 | 31% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
892 | 919 | 46% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
1141 | 1045 | 63% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
995 | 1032 | 45% | 2019-06-30 | Tied |
1109 | 1037 | 60% | 2019-05-29 | Won |
1225 | 1007 | 78% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
1090 | 1003 | 62% | 2016-12-04 | Lost |
1003 | 881 | 67% | 2016-10-17 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1032.4 vs 1012.5 has a 52.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).