The Pouppeville Exit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (15 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 26
Defender wins (German): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1009 | 1041 | 45% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
1025 | 959 | 59% | 2023-07-29 | Won |
1018 | 1025 | 49% | 2022-11-29 | Won |
1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-09-25 | Lost |
1014 | 881 | 68% | 2021-11-10 | Tied |
1013 | 1009 | 51% | 2021-09-20 | Won |
911 | 963 | 43% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2021-05-17 | Won |
1330 | 934 | 91% | 2020-06-10 | Lost |
1025 | 962 | 59% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
1178 | 985 | 75% | 2019-06-03 | Won |
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2019-04-05 | Won |
1078 | 880 | 76% | 2018-01-03 | Won |
1007 | 1225 | 22% | 2017-09-28 | Won |
1090 | 1014 | 61% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1049.4 vs 993.9 has a 57.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).