Gavin Take
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (American): 15
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1119 | 1022 | 64% | 2024-08-07 | Lost |
1052 | 1040 | 52% | 2024-05-03 | Won |
1032 | 1036 | 49% | 2024-04-04 | Won |
1009 | 1003 | 51% | 2024-01-06 | Won |
1116 | 1114 | 50% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
1015 | 992 | 53% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
1057 | 989 | 60% | 2022-12-11 | Won |
1032 | 1035 | 50% | 2022-08-28 | Won |
959 | 1032 | 40% | 2022-08-13 | Lost |
851 | 982 | 32% | 2022-08-05 | Lost |
1032 | 942 | 63% | 2022-05-15 | Won |
926 | 943 | 48% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
964 | 964 | 50% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
1144 | 1170 | 46% | 2020-10-21 | Lost |
1427 | 1431 | 49% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
892 | 919 | 46% | 2020-04-19 | Won |
1159 | 1159 | 50% | 2019-11-06 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2019-03-05 | Won |
1221 | 1107 | 66% | 2019-02-26 | Lost |
1037 | 1109 | 40% | 2018-05-17 | Lost |
885 | 873 | 52% | 2018-02-12 | Won |
1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
1094 | 1047 | 57% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
1007 | 1225 | 22% | 2017-09-21 | Won |
964 | 1020 | 42% | 2017-04-29 | Won |
906 | 949 | 44% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
873 | 1018 | 30% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
1090 | 1003 | 62% | 2016-10-29 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1036.7 vs 1042.7 has a 49.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).