The T-Patchers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (German): 3
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 1148 | 29% | 2024-06-30 | Won |
| 907 | 965 | 42% | 2023-12-14 | Lost |
| 1034 | 937 | 64% | 2023-02-10 | Won |
| 1054 | 1094 | 44% | 2021-08-28 | Won |
| 1107 | 971 | 69% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1064 | 1053 | 52% | 2018-10-02 | Lost |
| 1140 | 854 | 84% | 2018-03-01 | Won |
| 1140 | 854 | 84% | 2018-03-01 | Won |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2017-05-05 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1223 | 22% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 1105 | 931 | 73% | 2017-01-14 | Won |
| 1081 | 1019 | 59% | 2017-01-14 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1065.1 vs 999.8 has a 59.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).