The Niscemi-Biscari Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (29 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 35
Defender wins (American): 35
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 885 | 935 | 43% | 2024-02-29 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1058 | 49% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
| 880 | 1013 | 32% | 2023-10-10 | Lost |
| 921 | 973 | 43% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
| 959 | 1058 | 36% | 2023-02-18 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1035 | 53% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 1425 | 1431 | 49% | 2022-11-18 | Lost |
| 1007 | 921 | 62% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1431 | 925 | 95% | 2022-02-01 | Won |
| 1011 | 1007 | 51% | 2022-01-31 | Lost |
| 917 | 892 | 54% | 2022-01-29 | Lost |
| 877 | 1048 | 27% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1181 | 27% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1007 | 73% | 2022-01-05 | Won |
| 1010 | 1087 | 39% | 2021-09-25 | Lost |
| 887 | 937 | 43% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1044 | 965 | 61% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 921 | 879 | 56% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 977 | 1034 | 42% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 921 | 1045 | 33% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
| 1148 | 917 | 79% | 2019-03-05 | Won |
| 1114 | 1034 | 61% | 2018-09-20 | Won |
| 1287 | 1095 | 75% | 2018-03-19 | Won |
| 1087 | 1143 | 42% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1223 | 22% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1022 | 59% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
| 859 | 981 | 33% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 880 | 981 | 36% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1030.7 vs 1030.2 has a 50.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).