The Niscemi-Biscari Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (29 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 36
Defender wins (American): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
948 | 966 | 47% | 2024-02-29 | Lost |
1018 | 1025 | 49% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
881 | 1013 | 32% | 2023-10-10 | Lost |
1009 | 1041 | 45% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
959 | 1025 | 41% | 2023-02-18 | Lost |
1025 | 1035 | 49% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
1425 | 1431 | 49% | 2022-11-18 | Lost |
935 | 1071 | 31% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
1431 | 925 | 95% | 2022-02-01 | Won |
1018 | 935 | 62% | 2022-01-31 | Lost |
919 | 892 | 54% | 2022-01-29 | Lost |
877 | 1056 | 26% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
935 | 1159 | 22% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
1159 | 935 | 78% | 2022-01-05 | Won |
983 | 1097 | 34% | 2021-09-25 | Lost |
890 | 963 | 40% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
995 | 934 | 59% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
1009 | 1013 | 49% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
1024 | 1023 | 50% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
1009 | 1040 | 46% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2019-03-05 | Won |
1081 | 1037 | 56% | 2018-09-20 | Won |
1330 | 1107 | 78% | 2018-03-19 | Won |
1097 | 1025 | 60% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
1007 | 1225 | 22% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
862 | 979 | 34% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
883 | 979 | 37% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1030.1 vs 1034.3 has a 49.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).