Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1064 | 1099 | 45% | 2024-06-08 | Won |
919 | 989 | 40% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
1211 | 954 | 81% | 2021-10-29 | Won |
1092 | 1109 | 48% | 2020-07-06 | Won |
1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-06-24 | Won |
1211 | 779 | 92% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
1003 | 1002 | 50% | 2020-05-02 | Lost |
873 | 872 | 50% | 2020-02-23 | Won |
912 | 1094 | 26% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
1041 | 1058 | 48% | 2018-11-02 | Lost |
1000 | 892 | 65% | 2018-05-12 | Lost |
1006 | 972 | 55% | 2018-03-18 | Won |
1069 | 892 | 73% | 2017-08-12 | Won |
906 | 949 | 44% | 2017-05-15 | Lost |
943 | 889 | 58% | 2017-04-05 | Won |
1003 | 1090 | 38% | 2016-10-30 | Lost |
1003 | 881 | 67% | 2016-10-11 | Won |
1122 | 999 | 67% | 2011-09-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1021.5 vs 974.1 has a 56.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).