Le Manoir
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (22 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 27
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 968 | 968 | 50% | 2025-05-14 | Won |
| 954 | 984 | 46% | 2024-07-08 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1009 | 53% | 2024-02-08 | Won |
| 756 | 960 | 24% | 2023-08-05 | Won |
| 873 | 873 | 50% | 2023-08-01 | Won |
| 967 | 1135 | 28% | 2023-03-01 | Lost |
| 987 | 875 | 66% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 953 | 1109 | 29% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 936 | 958 | 47% | 2022-05-01 | Won |
| 987 | 1024 | 45% | 2021-03-18 | Lost |
| 1254 | 1024 | 79% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
| 1173 | 1024 | 70% | 2021-03-15 | Won |
| 1024 | 931 | 63% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
| 843 | 965 | 33% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
| 854 | 879 | 46% | 2020-02-14 | Won |
| 1009 | 1130 | 33% | 2019-10-17 | Lost |
| 1018 | 936 | 62% | 2019-08-13 | Lost |
| 904 | 949 | 44% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
| 974 | 973 | 50% | 2017-01-21 | Lost |
| 1090 | 973 | 66% | 2016-10-29 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2016-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 978.8 vs 990.8 has a 48.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).