Raid on Moerdijk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (6 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Dutch / French): 4
Defender wins (German): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2024-05-20 | Won |
1131 | 1048 | 62% | 2018-07-12 | Lost |
1144 | 856 | 84% | 2018-01-31 | Won |
926 | 1311 | 10% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-01-01 | Lost |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-05 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1006.8 vs 1009.2 has a 49.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).