Initial Skirmish
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (17 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (French): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1082 | 1307 | 21% | 2024-07-02 | Lost |
779 | 1103 | 13% | 2023-11-23 | Lost |
1107 | 967 | 69% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
1135 | 1055 | 61% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
992 | 1034 | 44% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
1137 | 1138 | 50% | 2022-03-25 | Won |
1055 | 1183 | 32% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
1015 | 1047 | 45% | 2021-01-30 | Lost |
1087 | 1047 | 56% | 2021-01-26 | Won |
1107 | 1097 | 51% | 2017-11-02 | Won |
1043 | 1107 | 41% | 2017-11-01 | Lost |
992 | 1307 | 14% | 2016-12-27 | Lost |
1054 | 1284 | 21% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
1138 | 951 | 75% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
1075 | 969 | 65% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
1273 | 1138 | 69% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
1289 | 1129 | 72% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1080 vs 1109.6 has a 45.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).