The Road to Warsaw
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (19 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Polish): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
866 | 943 | 39% | 2021-02-28 | Won |
1069 | 1117 | 43% | 2020-09-18 | Lost |
1003 | 1211 | 23% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
1144 | 1020 | 67% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
1144 | 1020 | 67% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
1055 | 1109 | 42% | 2018-11-11 | Lost |
1040 | 1094 | 42% | 2018-09-27 | Won |
1283 | 889 | 91% | 2018-01-30 | Won |
994 | 989 | 51% | 2017-12-28 | Won |
881 | 1003 | 33% | 2017-07-09 | Lost |
1307 | 986 | 86% | 2017-02-21 | Won |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2016-06-27 | Won |
1019 | 849 | 73% | 2016-06-24 | Lost |
1048 | 1131 | 38% | 2016-06-24 | Won |
1048 | 1131 | 38% | 2016-06-23 | Won |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2016-06-05 | Won |
1177 | 1048 | 68% | 2016-06-04 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2016-03-28 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1079.6 vs 1038.2 has a 55.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).