At Sword Point
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (5 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 5
Defender wins (German): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
862 | 977 | 34% | 2020-12-28 | Won |
948 | 1198 | 19% | 2018-08-07 | Lost |
948 | 1198 | 19% | 2018-07-08 | Lost |
896 | 977 | 39% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
977 | 896 | 61% | 2014-11-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 926.2 vs 1049.2 has a 33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).