Silent Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (25 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 36
Defender wins (Slovakian): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1234 | 1336 | 36% | 2025-09-18 | Won |
| 1061 | 1167 | 35% | 2023-12-18 | Won |
| 1159 | 1206 | 43% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 938 | 1131 | 25% | 2022-03-02 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1189 | 35% | 2022-02-01 | Won |
| 1162 | 1051 | 65% | 2021-12-16 | Lost |
| 863 | 884 | 47% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1136 | 1037 | 64% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1110 | 38% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 982 | 65% | 2019-05-20 | Lost |
| 1133 | 996 | 69% | 2019-03-08 | Won |
| 1167 | 938 | 79% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 939 | 1206 | 18% | 2018-05-14 | Lost |
| 953 | 1218 | 18% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 982 | 1123 | 31% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1080 | 46% | 2017-09-09 | Lost |
| 982 | 1123 | 31% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 982 | 1123 | 31% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1006 | 52% | 2016-11-20 | Won |
| 1019 | 1032 | 48% | 2016-07-25 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1160 | 46% | 2016-06-11 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1080 | 43% | 2016-06-11 | Won |
| 1051 | 1060 | 49% | 2016-06-11 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2016-03-26 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1054.2 vs 1099.3 has a 43.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).