Silent Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (20 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 16
Defender wins (Slovakian): 43
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 1148 | 29% | 2023-12-18 | Won |
| 1166 | 1218 | 43% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 948 | 1200 | 19% | 2022-03-02 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1091 | 45% | 2021-12-16 | Lost |
| 863 | 937 | 40% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1064 | 1076 | 48% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 1090 | 981 | 65% | 2019-05-20 | Lost |
| 1133 | 966 | 72% | 2019-03-08 | Won |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 938 | 1218 | 17% | 2018-05-14 | Lost |
| 971 | 1216 | 20% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1140 | 37% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1074 | 44% | 2017-09-09 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1140 | 37% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1140 | 37% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1001 | 59% | 2016-11-20 | Won |
| 1063 | 1032 | 54% | 2016-07-25 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1118 | 45% | 2016-06-11 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1223 | 44% | 2016-03-26 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1160 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1054.3 vs 1101.4 has a 43.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).