Ceramic City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (15 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 17
Defender wins (Polish): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1118 | 1182 | 41% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
1249 | 963 | 84% | 2024-02-13 | Won |
911 | 1006 | 37% | 2021-04-01 | Lost |
945 | 1068 | 33% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2019-02-23 | Lost |
1135 | 1055 | 61% | 2019-01-13 | Lost |
962 | 1138 | 27% | 2018-08-16 | Lost |
1242 | 1118 | 67% | 2017-09-10 | Lost |
1152 | 1038 | 66% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
933 | 936 | 50% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
1003 | 1047 | 44% | 2017-02-09 | Lost |
974 | 1000 | 46% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
1022 | 1123 | 36% | 2016-10-10 | Lost |
964 | 1020 | 42% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
1087 | 1085 | 50% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1046.5 vs 1055.6 has a 48.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).