Costly Baptism
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 155 (42 on the archive and 113 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 89
Defender wins (Polish): 65
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
964 | 975 | 48% | 2024-04-02 | Won |
1099 | 1124 | 46% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
1128 | 1019 | 65% | 2023-11-18 | Won |
1069 | 1008 | 59% | 2023-09-19 | Won |
872 | 954 | 38% | 2023-03-14 | Lost |
989 | 957 | 55% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
1311 | 1311 | 50% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
1012 | 964 | 57% | 2022-06-06 | Lost |
929 | 919 | 51% | 2022-05-31 | Lost |
964 | 1071 | 35% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
904 | 919 | 48% | 2022-01-27 | Won |
911 | 1006 | 37% | 2021-03-19 | Won |
929 | 1169 | 20% | 2021-02-16 | Won |
1056 | 1010 | 57% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
992 | 1023 | 46% | 2020-05-22 | Won |
943 | 866 | 61% | 2020-05-14 | Lost |
955 | 1055 | 36% | 2020-03-14 | Won |
1056 | 1143 | 38% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
1010 | 964 | 57% | 2018-08-11 | Won |
935 | 917 | 53% | 2018-07-15 | Won |
1138 | 960 | 74% | 2018-06-18 | Won |
960 | 1109 | 30% | 2018-04-26 | Won |
1055 | 1276 | 22% | 2018-04-21 | Lost |
1043 | 1058 | 48% | 2018-04-08 | Won |
1141 | 1100 | 56% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
994 | 989 | 51% | 2017-12-26 | Won |
1026 | 1311 | 16% | 2017-08-04 | Lost |
899 | 1020 | 33% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
899 | 1020 | 33% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
1144 | 1020 | 67% | 2017-04-13 | Won |
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
1000 | 1041 | 44% | 2017-01-28 | Lost |
964 | 977 | 48% | 2017-01-07 | Won |
1081 | 1307 | 21% | 2016-09-28 | Lost |
1003 | 1274 | 17% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
1069 | 1032 | 55% | 2016-07-20 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2016-07-08 | Won |
1048 | 1029 | 53% | 2016-06-24 | Won |
1227 | 1075 | 71% | 2016-06-12 | Won |
938 | 1211 | 17% | 2016-04-18 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2016-04-13 | Won |
1105 | 887 | 78% | 2016-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1018.5 vs 1054.8 has a 44.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).