Going Postal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (19 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 35
Defender wins (Polish): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 1088 | 34% | 2025-02-03 | Lost |
| 707 | 1065 | 11% | 2025-01-24 | Won |
| 1226 | 1065 | 72% | 2025-01-24 | Won |
| 1073 | 1030 | 56% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 880 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 880 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 863 | 885 | 47% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 1217 | 1017 | 76% | 2020-03-09 | Won |
| 1052 | 953 | 64% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1170 | 1065 | 65% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 1029 | 1113 | 38% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 968 | 959 | 51% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 1123 | 986 | 69% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
| 1123 | 986 | 69% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
| 1225 | 939 | 84% | 2016-05-09 | Lost |
| 1230 | 986 | 80% | 2016-04-13 | Won |
| 1044 | 1091 | 43% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1059.8 vs 1018.9 has a 55.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).