The Winter City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (25 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Slovak): 39
Defender wins (Polish): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1030 | 1016 | 52% | 2024-05-17 | Won |
1099 | 1099 | 50% | 2024-03-02 | Won |
1141 | 926 | 78% | 2023-11-28 | Won |
929 | 1019 | 37% | 2023-11-18 | Lost |
954 | 974 | 47% | 2023-04-13 | Won |
929 | 1051 | 33% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
911 | 954 | 44% | 2023-03-18 | Won |
904 | 919 | 48% | 2021-07-22 | Won |
1041 | 1038 | 50% | 2021-05-24 | Lost |
1031 | 1170 | 31% | 2021-02-10 | Won |
911 | 1006 | 37% | 2021-01-11 | Lost |
943 | 1005 | 41% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
955 | 1055 | 36% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
1056 | 1143 | 38% | 2019-10-30 | Won |
1153 | 1211 | 42% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
1009 | 1109 | 36% | 2019-05-13 | Lost |
1055 | 1031 | 53% | 2017-10-15 | Won |
1144 | 1020 | 67% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
1144 | 1020 | 67% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
1144 | 1020 | 67% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
1120 | 964 | 71% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
1138 | 1005 | 68% | 2016-11-16 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2016-04-13 | Lost |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2016-04-05 | Won |
1032 | 1069 | 45% | 2016-03-12 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1034.2 vs 1040.2 has a 49.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).