Bad Day for the Luftwaffe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1052 | 1052 | 50% | 2020-04-06 | Won |
| 893 | 933 | 44% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 979 | 984 | 49% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2019-09-30 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-02-04 | Won |
| 1263 | 875 | 90% | 2017-01-22 | Won |
| 1153 | 1039 | 66% | 2017-01-20 | Won |
| 1045 | 1045 | 50% | 2016-12-15 | Lost |
| 1102 | 924 | 74% | 2016-08-03 | Won |
| 1084 | 1127 | 44% | 2016-04-19 | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1080.5 vs 1030.5 has a 57.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).