Down on the Farm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (7 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 7
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1015 | 52% | 2025-02-13 | Lost |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2022-03-05 | Won |
| 1113 | 1035 | 61% | 2021-03-22 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1025 | 75% | 2018-06-28 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1231 | 43% | 2017-05-24 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1129 | 50% | 2016-12-05 | Lost |
| 982 | 1129 | 30% | 2016-03-26 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1079.7 vs 1067.6 has a 51.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).