Deadly Assumption
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (12 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (American): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
985 | 1150 | 28% | 2024-06-27 | Lost |
986 | 986 | 50% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
1227 | 1019 | 77% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
1051 | 1073 | 47% | 2023-02-03 | Lost |
1169 | 1132 | 55% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
857 | 865 | 49% | 2020-09-16 | Won |
1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2020-04-18 | Lost |
1307 | 1061 | 80% | 2018-05-04 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
984 | 1055 | 40% | 2016-08-06 | Lost |
1055 | 1069 | 48% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
876 | 943 | 40% | 2016-04-29 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1049.1 vs 1029.9 has a 52.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).