Aiding the Local Constabulary (3 player)
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (20 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian / South African ): 17
Defender wins (Italian (Mutineers)): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian / South African ): 0
Defender wins (Italian (Mutineers)): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1398 | 1081 | 86% | 2023-12-27 | Won |
1138 | 1005 | 68% | 2023-07-22 | Lost |
954 | 1003 | 43% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
1311 | 1211 | 64% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
1296 | 1211 | 62% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
1056 | 1233 | 27% | 2021-06-06 | Won |
968 | 943 | 54% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
1020 | 1003 | 52% | 2020-01-18 | Won |
1056 | 986 | 60% | 2019-10-19 | Won |
987 | 1069 | 38% | 2019-09-28 | Won |
1211 | 1014 | 76% | 2019-07-20 | Won |
1048 | 1024 | 53% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
1136 | 1225 | 37% | 2019-01-04 | Won |
949 | 994 | 44% | 2018-11-27 | Won |
974 | 1307 | 13% | 2018-11-10 | Tied |
1043 | 1027 | 52% | 2017-09-09 | Tied |
1164 | 1225 | 41% | 2016-08-13 | Won |
985 | 991 | 49% | 2016-06-04 | Won |
1225 | 1150 | 61% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
1125 | 1125 | 50% | 2016-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1102.2 vs 1091.4 has a 51.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).