Aiding the Local Constabulary (3 player)
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (21 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian / South African ): 17
Defender wins (Italian (Mutineers)): 13
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian / South African ): 0
Defender wins (Italian (Mutineers)): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1400 | 1082 | 86% | 2023-12-27 | Won |
| 1087 | 1009 | 61% | 2023-07-22 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1100 | 44% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 955 | 917 | 55% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
| 1287 | 1181 | 65% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
| 1292 | 1181 | 65% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1242 | 25% | 2021-06-06 | Won |
| 979 | 946 | 55% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
| 1062 | 917 | 70% | 2020-01-18 | Won |
| 1056 | 964 | 63% | 2019-10-19 | Won |
| 987 | 1063 | 39% | 2019-09-28 | Won |
| 1181 | 1044 | 69% | 2019-07-20 | Won |
| 1077 | 1025 | 57% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1223 | 38% | 2019-01-04 | Won |
| 949 | 994 | 44% | 2018-11-27 | Won |
| 973 | 1310 | 13% | 2018-11-10 | Tied |
| 1065 | 1027 | 55% | 2017-09-09 | Tied |
| 1164 | 1223 | 42% | 2016-08-13 | Won |
| 1022 | 993 | 54% | 2016-06-04 | Won |
| 1223 | 1150 | 60% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1125 | 1125 | 50% | 2016-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1101.3 vs 1081.7 has a 52.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).