Riding to the Rescue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (21 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (British): 42
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1011 | 938 | 60% | 2024-01-25 | Won |
950 | 1002 | 43% | 2023-01-22 | Lost |
1197 | 1077 | 67% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
1052 | 1142 | 37% | 2019-01-26 | Won |
780 | 1109 | 13% | 2018-04-29 | Lost |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2018-04-03 | Won |
1083 | 1003 | 61% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
984 | 1030 | 43% | 2017-10-28 | Lost |
896 | 977 | 39% | 2017-09-14 | Won |
925 | 950 | 46% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
1109 | 1090 | 53% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
994 | 1049 | 42% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
994 | 1049 | 42% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
1087 | 1081 | 51% | 2017-01-06 | Won |
975 | 989 | 48% | 2016-11-12 | Lost |
1128 | 1013 | 66% | 2016-07-23 | Won |
980 | 1284 | 15% | 2016-06-06 | Won |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2016-05-07 | Lost |
989 | 887 | 64% | 2016-03-28 | Won |
986 | 1115 | 32% | 2015-11-20 | Lost |
1058 | 1013 | 56% | 2015-11-10 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1022.7 vs 1051.7 has a 45.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).