Sealing Their Fate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (19 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 25
Defender wins (German (SS)): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1028 | 49% | 2025-08-28 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1155 | 53% | 2025-08-09 | Won |
| 998 | 1040 | 44% | 2025-08-08 | Won |
| 928 | 883 | 56% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 939 | 928 | 52% | 2024-02-11 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1263 | 45% | 2023-08-04 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1030 | 54% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 953 | 997 | 44% | 2022-09-08 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1079 | 54% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1028 | 63% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 955 | 1118 | 28% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1107 | 71% | 2018-08-05 | Won |
| 1128 | 951 | 73% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 862 | 1146 | 16% | 2017-04-25 | Lost |
| 893 | 982 | 37% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
| 1318 | 1219 | 64% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1143 | 40% | 2016-03-05 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1102 | 37% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1063 vs 1074.6 has a 48.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).