Ciao Gurkha Ciao!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (15 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Gurkha): 16
Defender wins (Italian): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1054 | 55% | 2025-01-04 | Won |
| 1182 | 948 | 79% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
| 988 | 939 | 57% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1066 | 996 | 60% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 983 | 950 | 55% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 996 | 1066 | 40% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
| 920 | 1023 | 36% | 2019-02-03 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 2018-06-15 | Won |
| 1054 | 920 | 68% | 2018-05-13 | Won |
| 1182 | 1007 | 73% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 1055 | 983 | 60% | 2016-12-14 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1007 | 67% | 2016-01-04 | Won |
| 1232 | 988 | 80% | 2015-10-23 | Won |
| 1059 | 1232 | 27% | 2015-10-23 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1034 | 55% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1077.7 vs 1021.1 has a 58.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).