Nikolai's Star
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (6 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (Hungarian/German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 884 | 1188 | 15% | 2025-11-06 | Lost |
| 727 | 1140 | 8% | 2025-10-15 | Lost |
| 727 | 1140 | 8% | 2025-10-15 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1125 | 55% | 2024-05-05 | Lost |
| 964 | 1111 | 30% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1150 | 44% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 928 vs 1142.3 has a 22.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).