Death on the Eismeer Strasse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (12 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1141 | 1311 | 27% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
979 | 1067 | 38% | 2020-01-01 | Won |
1021 | 1003 | 53% | 2019-07-28 | Won |
1032 | 929 | 64% | 2019-07-21 | Lost |
1120 | 1090 | 54% | 2017-04-03 | Lost |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2016-06-30 | Lost |
889 | 994 | 35% | 2016-02-24 | Lost |
1287 | 1307 | 47% | 2015-12-27 | Lost |
985 | 928 | 58% | 2015-11-22 | Won |
917 | 1016 | 36% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
1283 | 979 | 85% | 2015-08-03 | Lost |
979 | 1283 | 15% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1053 vs 1090.3 has a 44.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).