A Lion in the Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (14 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 30
Defender wins (British): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2024-06-12 | Tied |
1147 | 1016 | 68% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
1144 | 856 | 84% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2017-05-30 | Won |
896 | 1135 | 20% | 2016-08-01 | Lost |
1007 | 1009 | 50% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
1180 | 1014 | 72% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
1202 | 1211 | 49% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
1138 | 1048 | 63% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
984 | 1225 | 20% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
939 | 985 | 43% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
1168 | 887 | 83% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
1055 | 981 | 60% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1067.6 vs 1029.4 has a 55.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).