Start Fall Gelb
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (11 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (Belgian): 49
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1041 | 935 | 65% | 2022-10-17 | Lost |
935 | 1041 | 35% | 2022-10-10 | Won |
791 | 1117 | 13% | 2021-10-06 | Lost |
969 | 948 | 53% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
773 | 1043 | 17% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
1028 | 1057 | 46% | 2019-08-10 | Won |
1283 | 1171 | 66% | 2016-11-24 | Won |
934 | 1129 | 25% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
931 | 1037 | 35% | 2015-12-27 | Lost |
1171 | 1014 | 71% | 2015-10-30 | Lost |
1323 | 943 | 90% | 2015-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1016.3 vs 1039.5 has a 46.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).