Start Fall Gelb
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (14 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 36
Defender wins (Belgian): 51
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2024-11-08 | Won |
| 1050 | 1007 | 56% | 2022-10-17 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1050 | 44% | 2022-10-10 | Won |
| 796 | 920 | 33% | 2021-10-06 | Lost |
| 975 | 885 | 63% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 880 | 1051 | 27% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
| 995 | 1063 | 40% | 2019-08-10 | Won |
| 1216 | 1193 | 53% | 2016-11-24 | Won |
| 1216 | 1046 | 73% | 2016-11-23 | Won |
| 965 | 1125 | 28% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 931 | 1019 | 38% | 2015-12-27 | Lost |
| 1205 | 917 | 84% | 2015-10-30 | Lost |
| 888 | 1100 | 23% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 1310 | 942 | 89% | 2015-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1034.5 vs 1026.2 has a 51.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).