Father Sunshine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (12 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 36
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1109 | 1081 | 54% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
984 | 1179 | 25% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
964 | 1008 | 44% | 2021-04-17 | Lost |
1211 | 1003 | 77% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
1036 | 887 | 70% | 2016-04-02 | Lost |
896 | 977 | 39% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2015-11-14 | Won |
1048 | 1131 | 38% | 2015-10-21 | Won |
943 | 879 | 59% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
1138 | 1154 | 48% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
964 | 1127 | 28% | 2015-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1045.7 vs 1036 has a 51.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).