Skiing in Lapland
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (12 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (Finnish): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1193 | 809 | 90% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1055 | 1031 | 53% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1204 | 1204 | 50% | 2023-12-18 | Lost |
| 955 | 948 | 51% | 2023-05-10 | Won |
| 1032 | 1002 | 54% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
| 948 | 1018 | 40% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
| 935 | 917 | 53% | 2018-08-15 | Won |
| 1100 | 1022 | 61% | 2016-03-30 | Won |
| 1164 | 1094 | 60% | 2015-08-18 | Won |
| 1064 | 1076 | 48% | 2015-02-28 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1068.7 vs 1007.9 has a 58.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).