Skiing in Lapland
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (10 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 25
Defender wins (Finnish): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1154 | 833 | 86% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
1179 | 1179 | 50% | 2023-12-18 | Lost |
954 | 1003 | 43% | 2023-05-10 | Won |
1027 | 994 | 55% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
1007 | 1007 | 50% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
935 | 917 | 53% | 2018-08-15 | Won |
1105 | 985 | 67% | 2016-03-30 | Won |
1139 | 1094 | 56% | 2015-08-18 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1058.1 vs 1002.9 has a 57.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).