Torment at Tormua
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (12 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 21
Defender wins (Finnish): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 933 | 67% | 2024-05-26 | Won |
| 954 | 1048 | 37% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 932 | 1112 | 26% | 2022-02-05 | Lost |
| 914 | 1033 | 34% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1051 | 50% | 2021-06-09 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1098 | 67% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1097 | 64% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1048 | 66% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 907 | 1064 | 29% | 2019-07-07 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1013 | 52% | 2018-05-27 | Won |
| 1135 | 966 | 73% | 2018-05-22 | Won |
| 976 | 1023 | 43% | 2017-08-20 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1043.8 vs 1040.5 has a 50.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).