Torment at Tormua
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (11 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 20
Defender wins (Finnish): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1147 | 933 | 77% | 2024-05-26 | Won |
| 955 | 948 | 51% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1002 | 54% | 2022-02-05 | Lost |
| 914 | 948 | 45% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2021-06-09 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1100 | 44% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1094 | 57% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 1143 | 1064 | 61% | 2019-07-07 | Lost |
| 1133 | 937 | 76% | 2018-05-22 | Won |
| 977 | 1022 | 44% | 2017-08-20 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1060.9 vs 1002 has a 58.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).