Armored Car Savikurki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 99 (36 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 58
Defender wins (Russian): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2026-08-15 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 997 | 53% | 2026-02-16 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2025-12-19 | | Won |
| 909 | 1043 | 32% | 2025-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2024-09-21 | | Won |
| 945 | 1150 | 24% | 2024-05-27 | | Won |
| 989 | 966 | 53% | 2024-01-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2023-11-22 | | Won |
| 1202 | 946 | 81% | 2023-08-06 | | Won |
| 946 | 1202 | 19% | 2023-07-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1004 | 49% | 2023-05-21 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-04-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2022-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2020-04-02 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-12-04 | | Lost |
| 1095 | 945 | 70% | 2019-04-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2019-03-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2019-03-02 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1178 | 43% | 2018-11-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2018-07-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2018-04-08 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2018-03-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1045 | 44% | 2018-01-10 | | Lost |
| 921 | 1103 | 26% | 2017-12-27 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2017-01-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2017-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2016-05-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2016-04-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2016-04-06 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2016-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1289 | 939 | 88% | 2016-03-07 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1116 | 39% | 2015-07-29 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2015-07-29 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 2015-05-22 | | Won |
| 1049 | 1132 | 38% | 2015-04-04 | | Won |
| 1289 | 1117 | 73% | 2015-01-25 | | Won |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1052.4 vs 1051.5 has a 50.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).