Arctic Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (13 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (Finnish): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1014 | 1012 | 50% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
1014 | 948 | 59% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
970 | 1014 | 44% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
1006 | 1155 | 30% | 2023-02-09 | Won |
1010 | 1014 | 49% | 2023-02-04 | Won |
1159 | 1260 | 36% | 2022-12-29 | Won |
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2020-04-30 | Lost |
1030 | 989 | 56% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
1094 | 1081 | 52% | 2017-12-18 | Won |
1171 | 1283 | 34% | 2017-07-31 | Lost |
934 | 961 | 46% | 2017-03-13 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2016-09-06 | Lost |
1081 | 1081 | 50% | 2016-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1036.7 vs 1059.9 has a 46.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).