Poteau Party
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (9 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 19
Defender wins (American): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2024-03-24 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1013 | 52% | 2024-02-29 | Won |
| 1053 | 1053 | 50% | 2023-10-15 | Won |
| 1094 | 1104 | 49% | 2019-04-03 | Lost |
| 929 | 1061 | 32% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 958 | 1216 | 18% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1059 | 50% | 2015-10-04 | Lost |
| 963 | 1067 | 35% | 2015-01-19 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1157 | 45% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1025.9 vs 1084.7 has a 41.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).