Coal in Their Stockings
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 121 (25 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 59
Defender wins (German): 62
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2024-07-04 | Lost |
948 | 942 | 51% | 2024-03-19 | Won |
1171 | 1122 | 57% | 2024-03-15 | Won |
1159 | 935 | 78% | 2024-03-02 | Won |
935 | 1159 | 22% | 2024-02-24 | Lost |
1124 | 1032 | 63% | 2022-02-26 | Lost |
1032 | 1039 | 49% | 2022-02-06 | Won |
963 | 1000 | 45% | 2021-05-23 | Won |
963 | 1008 | 44% | 2020-05-06 | Lost |
1045 | 1014 | 54% | 2020-04-29 | Lost |
1018 | 1090 | 40% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
980 | 1097 | 34% | 2019-09-02 | Lost |
1025 | 1028 | 50% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
1178 | 1079 | 64% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
985 | 1178 | 25% | 2019-05-16 | Lost |
959 | 1037 | 39% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
1103 | 1147 | 44% | 2018-01-27 | Won |
1090 | 1117 | 46% | 2017-07-06 | Won |
1008 | 1057 | 43% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
1081 | 1081 | 50% | 2016-10-13 | Lost |
1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2016-06-27 | Won |
1174 | 1117 | 58% | 2016-06-10 | Won |
1323 | 1323 | 50% | 2016-06-01 | Lost |
1022 | 1214 | 25% | 2015-03-13 | Won |
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2015-01-16 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1053.2 vs 1075.9 has a 46.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).