Best Think Again
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 121 (26 on the archive and 95 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 63
Defender wins (German): 58
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1024 | 1058 | 45% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
974 | 980 | 49% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
980 | 1029 | 43% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
1009 | 1066 | 42% | 2020-11-29 | Won |
975 | 989 | 48% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
1133 | 1013 | 67% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
1042 | 1174 | 32% | 2020-04-29 | Won |
1174 | 1042 | 68% | 2020-01-16 | Lost |
1197 | 949 | 81% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
987 | 1109 | 33% | 2018-06-12 | Lost |
1110 | 1095 | 52% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2016-10-23 | Lost |
1091 | 1087 | 51% | 2015-10-11 | Won |
1063 | 1167 | 35% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
887 | 1169 | 16% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
1225 | 1284 | 42% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
1098 | 1225 | 32% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
963 | 1012 | 43% | 2015-08-19 | Lost |
991 | 1032 | 44% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
934 | 1142 | 23% | 2015-07-04 | Lost |
1307 | 977 | 87% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
1051 | 989 | 59% | 2015-03-20 | Lost |
1089 | 1063 | 54% | 2015-02-23 | Lost |
925 | 984 | 42% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
861 | 989 | 32% | 2014-11-05 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1049.3 vs 1072.4 has a 46.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).