The Mubo Decision
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 119 (21 on the archive and 98 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 58
Defender wins (Japanese): 61
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1109 | 960 | 70% | 2023-09-14 | Lost |
1019 | 1024 | 49% | 2021-11-18 | Won |
981 | 982 | 50% | 2021-11-16 | Lost |
982 | 981 | 50% | 2021-11-09 | Won |
1117 | 981 | 69% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2021-02-08 | Lost |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2021-01-25 | Won |
1058 | 1043 | 52% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
1026 | 1141 | 34% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
925 | 896 | 54% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2016-03-27 | Lost |
841 | 943 | 36% | 2015-05-15 | Won |
1138 | 985 | 71% | 2015-05-15 | Won |
938 | 1211 | 17% | 2015-04-06 | Lost |
1092 | 1307 | 22% | 2015-02-22 | Won |
1069 | 1026 | 56% | 2015-02-06 | Won |
1120 | 1090 | 54% | 2015-01-07 | Won |
926 | 1012 | 38% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
943 | 1138 | 25% | 2014-10-27 | Lost |
1093 | 1047 | 57% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1031.8 vs 1047.5 has a 47.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).