An Estonian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (22 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Estonian): 31
Defender wins (Russian): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2024-08-30 | Lost |
| 999 | 1085 | 38% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 893 | 1218 | 13% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1080 | 1011 | 60% | 2023-11-19 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1005 | 65% | 2021-11-29 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1160 | 51% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 1135 | 982 | 71% | 2020-09-13 | Won |
| 1343 | 1059 | 84% | 2019-02-02 | Won |
| 1064 | 993 | 60% | 2018-12-11 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1056 | 66% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 884 | 939 | 42% | 2015-05-17 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1012 | 78% | 2015-03-26 | Won |
| 1052 | 1245 | 25% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1018 | 60% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
| 1071 | 908 | 72% | 2015-02-06 | Lost |
| 938 | 998 | 41% | 2015-02-01 | Lost |
| 1060 | 997 | 59% | 2014-10-30 | Won |
| 1005 | 1141 | 31% | 2014-10-11 | Lost |
| 1011 | 890 | 67% | 2014-10-10 | Won |
| 1135 | 1167 | 45% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 973 | 1040 | 40% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1066.4 vs 1044.8 has a 53.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).