An Estonian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (14 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Estonian): 28
Defender wins (Russian): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1117 | 1047 | 60% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
1117 | 1047 | 60% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
1103 | 1103 | 50% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
1000 | 973 | 54% | 2020-09-13 | Won |
1081 | 980 | 64% | 2018-12-11 | Lost |
963 | 939 | 53% | 2015-05-17 | Lost |
1323 | 1157 | 72% | 2015-03-26 | Won |
1058 | 1245 | 25% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
1099 | 1057 | 56% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
1068 | 917 | 70% | 2015-02-06 | Lost |
1046 | 986 | 59% | 2014-10-30 | Won |
1032 | 887 | 70% | 2014-10-10 | Won |
1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
983 | 1078 | 37% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1070.7 vs 1034.8 has a 55.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).