An Estonian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (Estonian): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2024-08-30 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1183 | 21% | 2024-06-22 | | Won |
| 893 | 1182 | 16% | 2024-06-22 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2023-11-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 987 | 52% | 2021-11-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2020-11-06 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2020-09-13 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1059 | 84% | 2019-02-02 | | Won |
| 1134 | 986 | 70% | 2018-12-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2015-10-08 | | Lost |
| 921 | 938 | 48% | 2015-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1012 | 77% | 2015-03-26 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2015-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2015-02-07 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 908 | 72% | 2015-02-06 | | Lost |
| 938 | 962 | 47% | 2015-02-01 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2014-10-30 | | Won |
| 990 | 1141 | 30% | 2014-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 891 | 67% | 2014-10-10 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1141 | 49% | 2014-10-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2014-10-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1042.6 vs 1040 has a 50.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).