Spoiled Afternoon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (12 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (Polish): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1052 | 1025 | 54% | 2024-05-02 | Won |
1143 | 1255 | 34% | 2022-12-11 | Won |
1211 | 938 | 83% | 2018-05-16 | Won |
1032 | 1069 | 45% | 2017-03-22 | Lost |
1048 | 1019 | 54% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
1048 | 1019 | 54% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2015-06-21 | Won |
1048 | 1131 | 38% | 2014-11-20 | Won |
967 | 887 | 61% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2014-09-21 | Won |
1225 | 1191 | 55% | 2014-09-19 | Lost |
1019 | 1035 | 48% | 2014-09-18 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1095.1 vs 1066.4 has a 54.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).